Subtopic 7.1 Jordan – Is it All Roses?

POLITICAL AND CIVIL RIGHTS IN JORDAN

R E P O R T

TO KENNETH ROTH, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH

23 June, 2018

____________________________________________________

JACQUELYN F. HOOPER

EXPERT ON JORDAN

EMPLOYEE OF HUMAN RIGHTS WATCH

Political Rights in Jordan 

Pictured above is life on the ground for the Jordanian government (or more specifically the royal family, pictured at the top) juxtaposed to life on the ground for many Jordanian citizens (bottom). The people of Jordan (and in particular, the middle class) are simply fed up with the country’s economic and political corruption. In Jordan, “a system has long been established to benefit the few at the expense of everyone else. Everyone who doesn’t come from a well-connected family, with well-established business and/or political ties…”, is considered to be expendable (Tarawnah, 2018). Despite the recent massive tax hikes, the money is not going to “a world-class public education system or universal health care system, or free college, or comprehensive national and local public transportation systems, or even consistently efficient public sector services”, but it’s going primarily to the elite class, which is getting richer and richer (Tarawnah, 2018). The civil and political liberties in Jordan are dramatically deteriorating. This can be seen in the case of former parliamentarian Toujan Faisal, who was arrested for simply writing an open letter accusing Prime Minister Ali Abu Ragheb of “‘benefitting personally’ from a government decision to double car insurance premiums” (Schwelder, 2002). Jordan has legalized “political parties and holding elections, but manipulat[es] the electoral system to prevent opposition voices from gaining any real power” (Schwelder, 2002). The Jordanian regime has tried fervently to rid itself of all political dissent, such as expressions of opposition through newspapers, political parties, organizations, rallies, or legal civil society organizations (Scwelder, 2002). Overall, the political and civil rights in Jordan are not in nearly as good of a condition as many Westerners seem to think.

Comparative Political Rights

According to Freedom House Scores, Jordan is considered to be a “partly free country”, with a score of 5/7 (7 being the lowest) for its political rights, 5/7 (7 being the lowest) for its civil liberties, and 5/7 for overall freedom (7 being the lowest) (2018). It has also given Jordan an aggregate score of 37/100 (100 being the most free) (Freedom House Scores, 2018). While Jordan is much more free than other places in the region such as Iran, Iraq, Egypt, Syria, and Saudi Arabia, it is still not as free as Israel (Freedom House Scores, 2018). As discussed in other sections of this report, the situation in Jordan on the ground is not entirely a bright one. There have been massive tax hikes which have gone almost entirely to increasing the wealth of the elite class. The elite get richer and richer, while the middle and lower classes experience no economic improvement at all (Tarawnah, 2018). In addition, the government and ever-present Mukhabarat are restricting the political and civil liberties of the Jordanian people more and more every day, shutting down all talk against the king’s regime by restricting access to the internet, prohibiting groups of people (6 or more) from gathering in public spaces, etc. (Scwelder, 2002). While this is not quite as bad as the Mukhabarat in Iraq, it is most certainly not all roses.

Increasing Political and Civil Liberties While Avoiding Civil War 

First and foremost, Jordan must not become another Syria or another Libya. It must not fall to violent civil war. This being said, there are a few strategies by which Jordan may be able to increase its political and civil liberties (but they may be a bit of a long shot). Essentially, Human Rights Watch recommends that the state “tak[e] serious stock of how it does business, what kind of business it condones, and whether any of it is accountable to the people it is supposed to be serving… hire competent, accountable people to bring [Jordan] back from the economic brink, and dismantle an entire system of beneficiaries within its folds” (Tarawnah, 2018). While this all sounds relatively unlikely given Jordan’s current situation, Schwelder suggests that Washington may be a powerful tool in promoting democracy in Jordan (should they decide to do so), as “the administration already has significant influence” in regard to the Jordanian government (2002). However, even if the Jordanian government does make these changes, they will “mean little unless they are accompanied by a clear political will from the state to carry out a comprehensive review of the current approach to governing the country” (Muasher, 2018). Every citizen would need to be given a real decision-making voice. Elections would have to become much more free, fair and competitive. Human Rights Watch recommends that Jordan create a new elite class, void of corruption and capable of proper, democratic governing. We recommend that instead of continuing to raise taxes, Jordan create a feasible plan to stimulate its economy and to attack its institutional economic and political corruption (Muasher, 2018).

The Future of Jordan

Unfortunately, the future of Jordan in terms of civil and political rights does not look exceedingly bright. According to one source, “the State, practically speaking, is broke”, so prices will inevitably rise, and skilled Jordanians will leave the country in search of better pay (Tarawnah, 2018). This will only increase the unrest of the lower and middle classes. In addition, Jordan’s economic struggles are not improving, as “yes, there’s the bare minimal spending required to keep services in a functioning condition, but nothing that has dramatically improved the standard of living” (Tarawnah, 2018). Jordan’s problems go far beyond economic strife. In this situation, the “people are more adept at fighting against something (e.g. tax hikes) than for something (e.g. political change), but if left long enough to simmer, the former can quickly evolve into the latter” (Tarawnah, 2018). In the words of Muasher, “the street today will not back down as easily as it did in 2011” (2018). The elite class is currently “facing unprecedented criticism and has lost the trust of those in the street” (Muasher, 2018). All of these factors will likely lead to the government even further restricting the civil and political liberties of its people, in an attempt to hold onto its power.

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I came this scenario entirely by reading the articles (and watching the lecture video) assigned to this unit/ subtopic. I initially had little to no knowledge of Jordanian political and civil liberties at all. Writing this subtopic in the style of an NGO brought to light Jordan’s very disturbing, underlying political and economic tensions (which I previously had no idea existed at all). I have detailed the specifics of these tensions in the NGO report above. I now know that the general Western view of Jordan’s current situation is off-base, to say the least. The United States largely views Jordan favorably, as it has “enough” democracy and a “friendly” leader (Tarawnah, 2018). It is absolutely true that compared to Syria, Iran, Iraq, etc., Jordan is a pretty good place to be. However, after learning so much about the dire state of Jordan in regard to its people’s political and civil freedoms, I fear that things may take a turn for the worse if nothing is done to reform the corrupt politics and economics of this state.

A journalist might present this information a bit differently, as they rely on dramatic, attention-grabbing stories that can sell. They might focus on more specific events, such as the arrest and later pardoning of Toujan Faisal, rather than a complete story of the situation in Jordan. Their job is to sell stories, and they can’t sell them if they are not compelling. A State Department employee might present this information a bit differently than either an NGO worker or a journalist. A State Department employee may try to gain an objective view of the situation in Jordan in order to determine whether or not it is relevant to the United States. As an NGO worker, however, “my” job was to attempt to objectively assess the situation in Jordan, determine its problems and their roots, and try to come up with solutions.

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“File: Hrw Logo.svg.” File: Cholesterol (Chemical Structure).Svg – Wikimedia Commons, 2018, commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Hrw_logo.svg.

“Freedom World 2018 Table of Country Scores.” Freedom House, 16 Jan. 2018, freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world-2018-table-country-scores.

Muasher, Marwan. “End of the Rope.” Carnegie Middle East Center, 7 June 2018, carnegie-mec.org/diwan/76551?lang=en&mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiWVRjME1HVTFZVEF4WldJNSIsInQiOiI2WVVvbTE2bm10VW5aV25XREJMc0g1STk2RDRYR3FyNWMyWnlEYUV4S2hkc1A1TngydTVuTkJZNUFCR2ZhRkI3XC9RVzhtc0JqdWhVZ0Z2VnJucjM3K3NYdGliU0tKNDBjbzZhZTF1dXlrZVlHbTNRcThpWkd5anI5WUJuTEhvcnoifQ==.

Sawalha, Jawanna. “Meet Jordan’s Royal Family: King Abdullah II, His Siblings, Queen Rania and Their Children.” StepFeed, 21 Feb. 2017, stepfeed.com/meet-jordan-s-royal-family-king-abdullah-ii-his-siblings-queen-rania-and-their-children-4339.

Schwelder, Jillian. Don’t Blink: Jordan’s Democratic Opening and Closing. 2002, Don’t Blink: Jordan’s Democratic Opening and Closing.

Tarawnah, Naseem. “JORDAN’S GABBA3AT MOMENT.” The Black Iris, 4 June 2018, black-iris.com/2018/06/04/jordans-gabba3at-moment/.

3,295 thoughts on “Subtopic 7.1 Jordan – Is it All Roses?”

  1. I thought your recommendations on how an NGO could go about achieving change in Jordan were very good. When it came to your feelings of the future for the country I differed. In my eyes the future for Jordan looks promising. The King has listened to the people and brought in a new prime minister who many see as someone who may be able to bring change. I also see their ever increasing reliance on the U.S. as a good sign that we can help bring change. You are right when you say that economic advancement is lacking, but I don’t see the possibility of people leaving to find work elsewhere as big of an issue. A major part of their economy is remittances from citizens working abroad.

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  2. Well done, Jacqueline.
    Not only is this well-written, you really sold the audience the “HR NGO Report” style.
    A few things to think about (and for others to think about who read here):
    I agree with your assertion that “Elections would have to become much more free, fair and competitive.” But how feasible is the strategy that “Jordan create a new elite class, void of corruption and capable of proper, democratic governing”? At its base, it’s a good idea and would satisfy many of the central demands of the people. But, to cut central players out of the system, especially if, as is the case in Jordan, one side can blame the other and make it a class or sectarian conflict, you may be looking at an Iraqi sectarian-style shift, or a return of the old elites to regain power as in Egypt who, with the military, led the coup against Morsi.

    Re: Tarawneh’s comment about “‘Everyone who doesn’t come from a well-connected family, with well-established business and/or political ties…’, is considered to be expendable” is particularly interesting because Naseem IS from a well-known and politically connected family in Jordan. Yet, when his blogging stepped over the line in criticizing the regime many years ago, even his family was threatened and it was “politely suggested that I go get a graduate degree out of the country for a few years” as he told me in a 2016 interview. So even those from well-known families are not immune to regime pressure. But, as Abby said in her post, the Jordanian regime is also more subtle in its pressure and repression than Syria or Saudi Arabia.

    You and your other classmates correctly identified the austerity measures, but there seems to be a disconnect among many people (not just the class) that believes that the regime is making these changes “just because” and doesn’t take into account the IMF demanded changes. None of you are, of course, asked to reconcile or solve this problem of the IMF debts.

    Personally, I think both you and Caleb are correct when it comes to the future. It appears among many that al-Razzazz may be more likely to actually make changes. BUT, the firing of the prime minister and the shuffling of the cabinet is a normal routine in Jordan. So we shouldn’t take this move alone as a panacea.

    When it comes to what you, Caleb, Andrew, and others have said about the connection to the U.S. being a good thing: it can be a blessing and a curse. It’s doubtful that the U.S. would ever allow Jordan to lapse into a civil war because it is such a crucial ally. But it’s a double-edged sword, because the U.S. may never push the king hard enough to make deep changes, for fear of losing an ally. As the saying goes, [Dictator X] may be a bastard, but he’s our bastard!” King Abdullah is hardly the worst in the region, but the logic among U.S. officials is likely the same.

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  328. จำหน่ายคอนโดพร้อมผู้เช่า กินค่าเช่าได้เลยไม่ต้องหาผู้เช่าเอง
    หากคุณเป็นคนหนึ่งที่อยากจะลงทุนอสังหาฯ แต่ไม่รู้จะลงทุนอะไรดี มาลงทุนในคอนโดกันดูไหม ซึ่งเรามีคอนโดพร้อมผู้เช่ามาเสนอขายให้กับคุณกันแล้ว เพียงแค่ซื้อคอนโดกับเราคุณก็จะได้รับผลตอบแทนทันที ด้วยการเก็บค่าเช่าจากผู้ที่เช่าอยู่นั่นเอง โดยไม่ต้องเสียเวลากับการหาผู้เช่าให้ยุ่งยากเลย แถมยังการันตีได้เลยว่าจะมีผู้เช่าอย่างต่อเนื่องอีกด้วย ดังนั้นห้ามพลาดเลยเชียว
    ขายคอนโดพร้อมผู้เช่า
    สำหรับผู้ที่ต้องการลงทุน
    เราเป็นสื่อกลางที่ให้บริการขายคอนโดพร้อมผู้เช่า
    โดยได้รวมคอนโดจากคนที่ต้องการขาย มาประกาศขายให้กับกลุ่มนักลงทุนที่ต้องการซื้อคอนโดเพื่อปล่อยเช่าโดยเฉพาะ
    ซึ่งการลงทุนในคอนโดก็เป็นอะไรที่น่าสนใจมาก เพราะให้ผลตอบแทนที่คุ้มค่าและได้กำไรในระยะยาวอีกด้วย แต่กรณีที่เป็นคอนโดใหม่ที่ไม่มีผู้เช่าก็อาจจะหาผู้เช่าได้ยากสักนิดดังนั้นการเลือกซื้อคอนโนพร้อมผู้เช่าอยู่แล้ว จึงเป็นตัวเลือกที่ดีสำหรับนักลงทุน เพราะคุณจะได้รับค่าเช่าในทันทีและเก็บกินค่าเช่าได้เรื่อยๆ โดยไม่ต้องหาคนเช่านั่นเอง โดยเฉพาะหากมีสัญญาเช่าเป็นเวลาหลายปีด้วยแล้ว ขอบอกเลยว่าคุ้มแน่นอน
    เพราะอะไรต้องซื้อคอนโดที่ขายพร้อมผู้เช่ากับเรา
    หลายคนคงจะเกิดคำถามใช่ไหมว่า ทำไมจึงต้องซื้อคอนโดพร้อมกับผู้เช่ากับเรา โดยเราก็ได้นำสาเหตุมาบอกกันแล้วดังนี้
    1.ขายจริงไม่โกง
    ซื้อคอนโดกับเรา คุณไม่ต้องกลัวว่าจะโดนหลอกขายถูกโกงหรือไม่ เพราะที่นี่เราได้มีการตรวจสอบอย่างดีก่อนจะนำมาประกาศขาย จึงมั่นใจได้เลยว่าขายคอนโดจริงไม่มีโกงแน่นอน
    2.ราคาย่อมเยา
    แน่นอนว่าทุกคนย่อมอยากได้คอนโดพร้อมผู้เช่าในราคาถูก ซึ่งที่นี่เรารวบรวมคอนโดราคาถูกมาให้คุณกันแล้ว
    ทั้งยังคุ้มค่าสุดๆ เพราะมีผู้เช่าอยู่แล้ว ซื้อคอนโดปุ๊บได้รับค่าเช่ามีรายได้ต่อเนื่องทันที
    ไม่มีอะไรจะดีไปกว่านี้อีกแล้วล่ะ

    3.ตั้งอยู่ในทำเลดี
    เมื่อซื้อคอนโดกับเรา คุณจะได้คอนโดพร้อมผู้เช่าที่ตั้งอยู่ในทำเลดี ซึ่งมีให้เลือกหลายแห่งด้วยกัน ชอบทำเลที่ตั้งแบบไหน ใกล้รถไฟฟ้าห้างดัง อาคารสำนักงาน หรือใกล้กับสถานที่สำคัญๆ แห่งไหนก็เลือกได้ตามใจชอบกันเลย โดยมีให้เลือกซื้อหลากหลายราคาแต่รับรองเลยว่าคุ้มค่าแน่นอน
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